Prices for oceanfront condominiums along the Grand Strand have been on a roller coaster in recent years - and have now plunged to levels seen three years ago before the condo boom.
Condo prices skyrocketed in 2005 - increasing $100,000 in less than six months in many cases - but since then have fallen to the levels in late 2004 and early 2005.
• “We’re exactly where we were three years ago. If we’re not there, we’re really darn close. It’s like we erased the spike,” said one real estate agent who specializes in oceanfront condos.
Re-sale prices have dropped
As prices grew higher, investors couldn’t afford to buy units that wouldn’t generate enough income to cover their mortgage. Flippers got caught with a property worth less than they bought it for, and supply ballooned. Then insurance spikes and mortgage tightening slowed the market to a crawl.
• Real estate agents are telling clients it’s like getting a second chance to buy that condo that they didn’t buy three years ago.
• Only resale condos have seen these dramatic price drops.
• Case in point: Camelot by the Sea, a themed 230-unit condo tower that opened in 2001 in Myrtle Beach, sold a one bedroom unit in January 2005 for $209,900. The sales topped out at $345,000 six months later. In June, one sold for $176,000 - lower than the 2005 price.
New Construction prices are holding
Newly built condominiums seem to be holding their value better, agents say.
• “Preconstruction oceanfront is still doing pretty well,” said Tom Maeser, president of the Fortune Academy of Real Estate. “It’s the resale that’s taking a hit.”
The tide of the condo boom turned so quickly few saw it coming.
• Economists say it’s not necessarily bad that condos on the Strand’s oceanfront have fallen so much. It makes them more affordable to potential buyers, and the price adjustment has happened quicker here than other areas like Florida, said Mark Vitner, economist at Wachovia in Charlotte.
• But he doesn’t think prices are done falling. He expects they’ll go a little further - and sales will rise before prices do.
Agents say these low prices should spur renewed interest in Myrtle Beach’s oceanfront - but they’re not sure when.
• Investors are waiting, looking for signs that prices have hit the bottom.
• High prices had caused many investors to get rid of their oceanfront condos because the rental income wasn’t enough to cover their mortgage costs, analysts say. Lower prices should make that more doable, Maeser said.
• “For the consistent rental investor - those that don’t plan to flip properties - this is a good time to be looking at properties,” Maeser said.
An influx of speculators to the Grand Strand’s oceanfront caused the lightning fast spike in prices. At the height of the housing boom, Myrtle Beach ranked 20th in the nation for the amount of mortgages to investors, Vitner said.
• “The run-up in prices was way overdone. It priced a lot of buyers out of the market, who were hoping to flip properties and make a quick profit,” Vitner said.
• Insurance increases, high prices and now mortgage tightening brought the market to a crawl.
• But the pace at which prices have adjusted is a good sign, Vitner said, although sales will grow before prices will creep up.
So how low will they go?
• Vitner thinks they’ll fall a little bit further.
• “We’re not going to see strength return to the market for another year,” Vitner said.
• Basic economics dictates that prices may still have room to fall because inventory is still slowly rising.
Source: Jenny Burns, The Sun News, Myrtle Beach, SC